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2020 QB Projections 1.0

Link to projections.

For the full projections including pass attempts/completions, passing yards, touchdowns, interceptions, rushing attempts, yards and touchdowns as well as fumbles and 2 point conversions for 49 quarterbacks, click the link above. Otherwise find the fantasy rankings based off of these projections down below.

Firstly, I’d like to note I would not use these rankings to draft from – I believe other factors like boom/bust potential or injury risk must be factored in to make an informed pick. To see my 2020 draft rankings click here. It’s important to remember each player has many things to consider such as how talented are they, is there an opportunity for them in their offence and if so, how much, as well as offensive scheme/play-calling tendencies.

However, using past performances, market shares and a bit of personal opinion to project how many points each player will have this season does give you an objective set of rankings based on your inputs alone. Often times, simply asking yourself to envision a player’s season regardless of any rankings or pre-conceived ideas can result in finding the diamonds in the rough to win you championships.

My methodology for projections is to start with QB’s and then go team-by-team. I look at averages over QB’s careers, tendencies of coaches that have been added as well as new additions (or losses) to the offense. Based off of these QB projections and past market share, factoring new changes and available market share, I project each skill position player.

I did find the differences between my draft rankings and my projection rankings interesting – for example, Minshew projects to be 10(!) spots higher than my rankings. Hence, I added a difference column between my rankings and these ones (I have also added how these compare to ECR).

With all that said, here are the fantasy rankings:

Fantasy Rankings from Projections

RankPlayerTeamByeFantasy Points
1Patrick MahomesKC10402.96
2Lamar JacksonBLT8331.54
3Dak PrescottDAL10328.60
4Russell WilsonSEA6322.94
5Deshaun WatsonHST8321.64
6Kyler MurrayARZ8318.40
7Drew BreesNO6311.50
8Aaron RodgersGB5291.28
9Carson WentzPHI9288.42
10Josh AllenBUF11287.62
11Tom BradyTB13276.82
12Matt RyanATL10274.56
13Baker MayfieldCLV9271.78
14Jared GoffLA9268.54
15Matthew StaffordDET5265.74
16Daniel JonesNYG11257.96
17Drew LockDEN8255.96
18Gardner MinshewJAX7251.78
19Ben RoethlisbergerPIT8247.34
20Sam DarnoldNYJ11246.34
21Philip RiversIND7242.36
22Joe BurrowCIN9236.74
23Kirk CousinsMIN7232.84
24Teddy BridgewaterCAR13226.20
25Jimmy GaroppoloSF11226.10
26Ryan TannehillTEN7225.76
27Derek CarrOAK6216.14
28Jarrett StidhamNE6199.14
29Dwayne HaskinsWAS8197.68
30Tua TagovailoaMIA11191.04
31Mitchell TrubiskyCHI11142.38
32Tyrod TaylorLAC10144.92
33Taysom HillNO6131.54
34Justin HerbertLAC10120.26
35Jalen HurtsPHI990.88
36Ryan FitzpatrickMIA1173.18
37Nick FolesCHI1165.90
38Jameis WinstonNO634.46
39Marcus MariotaOAK632.98
40Jake LutonJAX727.96
41Jordan LoveGB525.86
42Robert Griffin IIIBLT822.20
43Jacoby BrissettIND721.38
44Brian HoyerNE617.20
45Mason RudolphPIT812.68
46Andy DaltonDAL1011.40
47Jake FrommBUF1110.78
48Alex SmithWAS810.52
49Chase DanielDET58.82

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